مهندسی ترافیک

مهندسی ترافیک

رویکردی نوین در مدلسازی داده‌های کشوری تصادفات موتورسیکلت

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استادیار، دانشکده مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، مرکز تحقیقات ایمنی کاربردی حمل‌ونقل جاده‌ای، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران
2 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد مهندسی حمل‌ونقل، دانشکده مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، مرکز تحقیقات ایمنی کاربردی حمل‌ونقل جاده‌ای، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران
چکیده
یکی از مباحث موردتوجه در مطالعات ایمنی حمل‌ونقل، متغیرهای مؤثر در شدت تصادفات است که به‌طورمعمول محققان از طریق میزان شدت جراحات واردشده به کاربران به بررسی شدت تصادف می‌پردازند و تنها یک وجه از شدت تصادف در نظر گرفته می­شود. مفهوم دیگری که برآورد جامع­تری از شدت تصادف را با توجه به جنبه­های مختلف آن ارائه می­دهد، متغیر اندازه تصادف است که با توجه به تعداد کشته­ و زخمی و تعداد وسایل نقلیه آسیب‌دیده و تعداد وسایل نقلیه درگیر در تصادف تعریف می­شود. در این مطالعه به بررسی متغیرهای تأثیرگذار بر اندازه تصادفات موتورسیکلت ایران پرداخته شده است که 204299 داده تصادفات موتورسیکلت که در سال­های 1390 الی 1397 در کشور ایران رخ داده است، استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد که عامل­های راه، راننده و محیط تأثیر معناداری بر اندازه تصادف دارند و وسیله نقلیه سنگین، راننده مسن، راننده زن، روز، سطح جاده خشک، راه­ دوطرفه، عدم وجود شانه و نوع راه تأثیر مثبتی بر اندازه تصادف دارد. نتایج این مطالعه بیانگر اهمیت توجه به مشخصات راننده و اقدامات ایمن­سازی در راه­های دوطرفه برای کنترل شدت تصادفات است.
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